Super Bowl LI predictions & betting tips - New England Patriots v Atlanta Falcons

Leigh Copson in Weekly Tips 4 Feb 2017

New England Patriots v Atlanta Falcons predictions for Super Bowl LI on Sunday, February 5. Will Tom Brady lead the New England Patriots to another Super Bowl success of will the Atlanta Falcons lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy for the first time in franchise history? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Bet on Super Bowl LI live in-play at bet365 from 23:30 GMT on Sunday, February 5

The New England Patriots and Atlanta Falcons will contest Super Bowl LI on February 5, and while one franchise is seeking yet another Super Bowl victory another is looking to get their hands on the Vince Lombardi Trophy for the first time. New England are making a record-setting seventh Super Bowl appearance of the Bill Belichick/Tom Brady era – an period that has produced four Super Bowl successes – while Atlanta are making only their second appearance in the big game and are seeking their first ever Super Bowl victory.

So who will lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy in Houston, Texas? has all the Super Bowl LI betting tips, Super Bowl LI betting odds and Super Bowl LI betting offers you could need right here…

Super Bowl LI predictions

Super Bowl LI betting tips explained

Both teams swept aside their Championship opponents as the New England Patriots beat the Pittsburgh Steelers 36-17 and the Atlanta Falcons crushed the Green Bay Packers 44-21. So who takes this Super Bowl showdown between the number one ranked defense in the NFL and the number one ranked offense in the league.

There is an old saying in football and it certainly rings true - “Defense wins championships”. Remember when the Denver Broncos came up against that awesome Seattle Seahawks defense in Super Bowl XLVIII? Or what about just 12 months ago when the Carolina Panthers offense was stuffed by that dominant Denver Broncos defensive unit?

And if you want further evidence, just rewind to Championship weekend when the Patriots quietened the Ben Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown of the Pittsburgh Steelers. Patriots head coach Bill Belichick will have put together a solid gameplan that should at least slow down this hi-octane Atlanta offense, and then it will be down to three-time Super Bowl MVP Tom Brady to lead his team downfield and rack up the points needed to win. They have certainly had no problems scoring over the past couple of months, having eclipsed the 30-point barrier in five of their last six games and, more importantly, in both of their playoff games. 

And of course, the Patriots have been here before. While not every player has appeared in a Super Bowl, there is plenty of experience throughout the camp and that should help along those playing in this huge game for the first time. Atlanta do not have such a luxury and while they have gone some way to silencing the doubts about whether they can do it when the pressure is on, they will have never experience anything quite like the Super Bowl. Therefore I have to back New England.

If I am backing New England to win the Super Bowl then I have to recommend backing a Patriot to be named Most Valuable Player. Malcolm Butler scooped this honour the last time New England won a Super Bowl, but it is almost impossible to look past Tom Brady who has now won this award a record-equalling three times. Number 12 will have a chip on his shoulder when he steps out onto the field, having been hit with a four-game ban at the start of the season, and when that usually happens he puts in a masterful showing. I expect to see one here that results in personal glory alongside team success and his fifth Super Bowl ring.

The first touchdown scorer market also has plenty of options due to the offensive talent on show, and the man to back is New England running back LeGarrette Blount. The former Tampa Bay Buccaneer and Pittsburgh Steeler has enjoyed a career-best season in terms of both yards and touchdowns, with his 19 scores on the season making him the team leader in TDs. Therefore he is a fantastic candidate to get the first touchdown of Super Bowl LI.

Super Bowl LI betting odds

The leading bookmakers are offering a whole host of betting markets for the big game - with over 287 on offer from some leading firms, and here are the key bet365 Super Bowl LI betting odds markets...

Moneyline: 4/6 New England Patriots; 13/10 Atlanta Falcons

Spread: 20/21 New England Patriots -3.0; 20/23 Atlanta Falcons +3.0

Most Valuable Player (MVP): 5/6 Tom Brady; 7/4 Matt Ryan; 16/1 Julio Jones; 20/1 LeGarrette Blount; 20/1 Julian Edelman; 22/1 Devonta Freeman; 28/1 Dion Lewis; 33/1 Chris Hogan; 50/1 Tevin Coleman; 66/1 Martellus Bennett; 66/1 Vic Beasley; 66/1 Taylor Gabriel; 66/1 Mohamed Sanu; 80/1 Malcolm Butler’ 150/1 James White; 150/1 Devin McCourty; 150/1 Patrick Chung; 150/1 Ricardo Allen; 150/1 Trey Flowers; 200/1 Stephen Gostkowski; 200/1 Logan Ryan; 200/1 Deion Jones; 200/1 Dwight Freeny; 200/1 Keanu Neal; 200/1 Jabaal Sheard; 250/1 Matt Bryant; 250/1 Chris Long; 250/1 Donta Hightower; 250/1 Ron Ninkovich. Others on request.

First Touchdown Scorer: 8/1 Devonta Freeman; 8/1 Julio Jones; 8/1 LeGarrette Blount; 10/1 Julian Edelman; 12/1 Tevin Coleman; 12/1 Dion Lewis; 14/1 Martellus Bennett; 14/1 Mohamed Sanu; 14/1 Taylor Gabriel; 16/1 Chris Hogan; 16/1 Malcolm Mitchell; 22/1 Danny Amendola; 22/1 James White; 35/1 Matt Ryan; 40/1 Tom Brady. More Available.

Total Points: 10/1 Over 58; 10/11 Under 58

Overtime: 9/1 Super Bowl LI to go to overtime

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Super Bowl LI stats

  • New England are appearing in their seventh Super Bowl of the Bill Belichick/Tom Brady era
  • Patriots head coach has six Super Bowl rings having won four with New England and two with the New York Giants
  • NRG Stadium in Houston is hosting the Super Bowl for the second time - the last time it hosted the game New England beat Carolina
  • The Patriots will wear white in the Super Bowl - 11 of the past 12 Super Bowl winners have worn white on gameday!
  • Tom Brady is a three-time Super Bowl Most Valuable Player (MVP), tying him for the record with Joe Montana
  • A quarterback has won the Super Bowl MVP award 27 times
  • New England lead the series with Atlanta 7-6
  • The Patriots have beaten the Falcons in each of their past four meetings
  • Atlanta have not beaten New England since routing them 41-10 back in 1998

What time does Super Bowl LI start?

Super Bowl LI will take place at the NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas on Sunday, February 5 with a scheduled kick-off time of 23:30 GMT. The teams will be introduced before country singer Luke Bryan performs the national anthem. Lady Gaga is scheduled to perform the half-time show, with the game expected to be completed by 03:30 GMT.

Super Bowl LI team news

New England Patriots

Out: T Sebastian Vollmer (knee); LB Jonathan Freeny (shoulder); DE Greg Scruggs (knee); G Tre’ Jackson (knee); TE Rob Gronkowski (back).

Questionable: DB Nate Ebner (concussion); LB Jabaal Sheard (knee); WR Danny Amendola (ankle); WR Malcolm Mitchell (WR); LB Don’t’a Hightower (shoulder); RB Brandon Bolden (knee); CB Cyrus Jones (knee); QB Jacoby Brissett (thumb).

Probable: K Stephen Gostkowski (illness); WR Chris Hogan (thigh); TE Martellus Bennett (ankle).

Atlanta Falcons

Out: LB Tyler Starr (undisclosed); T Chris Mayes (foot); DB Akeem King (foot); LB Sean Weatherspoon (Achilles); CB Desmond Trufant (pectoral); DE Derrick Shelby (Achilles): DE Adrian Clayborn (bicep); S Kemal Ishmael (shoulder); TE Jacob Tamme (shoulder); WR Devin Fuller (shoulder).

Probable: WR Julio Jones (toe); OL Alex Mack (ankle).

New England Patriots' road to Super Bowl LI

1September 11at Arizona CardinalsWon 23-211-0
2September 18vs Miami DolphinsWon 31-242-0
3September 22vs Houston TexansWon 27-03-0
4October 2vs Buffalo BillsLost 0-163-1
5October 9at Cleveland BrownsWon 33-134-1
6October 16vs Cincinnati BengalsWon 35-175-1
7October 23at Pittsburgh SteelersWon 27-166-1
8October 30at Buffalo BillsWon 41-257-1
10November 13vs Seattle SeahawksLost 31-247-2
11November 20at San Francisco 49ersWon 30-178-2
12November 27at New York JetsWon 22-179-2
13December 4vs Los Angeles RamsWon 26-1010-2
14December 12vs Baltimore RavensWon 30-2311-2
15December 18at Denver BroncosWon 16-312-2
16December 24vs New York JetsWon 41-313-2
17January 1at Miami DolphinsWon 35-1414-2
DivisionalJanuary 14vs Houston TexansWon 34-16-
ChampionshipJanuary 22vs Pittsburgh SteelersWon 36-17-

Atlanta Falcons' road to Super Bowl LI

1September 11vs Tampa Bay BuccaneersLost 24-310-1
2September 18at Oakland RaidersWon 35-281-1
3September 26at New Orleans SaintsWon 45-322-1
4October 2vs Carolina PanthersWon 48-333-1
5October 9at Denver BroncosWon 23-164-1
6October 16at Seattle SeahawksLost 24-264-2
7October 23vs San Diego ChargersLost 30-33 (OT)4-3
8October 30vs Green Bay PackersWon 33-325-3
9November 3at Tampa Bay BuccaneersWon 43-286-3
10November 13at Philadelphia EaglesLost 15-246-4
12November 27vs Arizona CardinalsWon 38-197-4
13December 4vs Kansas City ChiefsLost 28-297-5
14December 11at Los Angeles RamsWon 42-148-5
15December 18vs San Francisco 49ersWon 41-139-5
16December 24at Carolina PanthersWon 33-1610-5
17January 1vs New Orleans SaintsWon 38-3211-5
DivisionalJanuary 14vs Seattle SeahawksWon 36-20-
ChampionshipJanuary 22vs Green Bay PackersWon 44-21-

Super Bowl LI predictions

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Super Bowl LI predictions & betting tips - New England Patriots v Atlanta Falcons

New England Patriots v Atlanta Falcons predictions for Super Bowl LI on Sunday, February 5.

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